Tranmere Rovers 4-0 Stockport County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.69
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
47%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.95
Over 2.5
56%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.53
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
25%
3.32
6+ Goals
12%
12.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.32 — our 25% vs market 24.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.12
1/2
7%
22.9
1/X
7%
14.7
X/1
11%
8.17
X/2
20%
4.1
X/X
13%
5.09
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
20%
2.36
2/X
5%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+4.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
47%
Away Win
52%
-5.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.2pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tranmere Rovers EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Stockport County EU Bookmakers 56%
+20% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +24%
1.24/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/0.86
+39% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / +18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
241 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 71%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
15.1 Crosses 20.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tranmere Rovers
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Stockport County
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.69 xG 1.71
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
203 Passes 378
61% Pass Accuracy 72%
12 Box Touches 32
14 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 0
28.10.2023 Stockport County Stockport County 2-0 HT 1-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
04.02.2023 Stockport County Stockport County 3-2 HT 2-1 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
01.11.2022 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
26.10.2010 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Stockport County Stockport County İNTK
08.05.2010 Stockport County Stockport County 0-3 HT 0-1 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN1
12.10.2009 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 0-1 HT 0-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tranmere Rovers
4-0
AWAY Stockport County
1.75 xG 0.87
40% Ball Possession 60%
17 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
160 Passes 319
55% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tranmere Rovers vs Stockport County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tranmere Rovers swept aside Stockport County 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Stockport County at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Tranmere Rovers had 40% of the ball to Stockport County's 60%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.75 to 0.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stockport County led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Tranmere Rovers and 1.00 for Stockport County.

What was the final score of Tranmere Rovers vs Stockport County?

Tranmere Rovers 4-0 Stockport County in the England - 2nd Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tranmere Rovers vs Stockport County?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stockport County win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Tranmere Rovers 28%, draw 25%, Stockport County 47%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Stockport County), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stockport County) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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