ADO Den Haag vs RKC Waalwijk Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
ADO Den Haag v RKC Waalwijk — Team-Based Signals
ADO Den Haag vs RKC Waalwijk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-2
HT 1-2
ADO Den Haag
HOK
0-0
HT 0-0
RKC Waalwijk
HOL
0-1
HT 0-1
ADO Den Haag
HOL
2-0
HT 1-0
RKC Waalwijk
HOL
0-3
HT 0-1
ADO Den Haag
HOL
ADO Den Haag 5-1 RKC Waalwijk — Actual Match Statistics
ADO Den Haag cruised past RKC Waalwijk 5-1. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had ADO Den Haag as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, ADO Den Haag had 66% of the ball to RKC Waalwijk's 34%, shots finished 23-7, expected goals 3.63 to 1.05.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ADO Den Haag had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for ADO Den Haag and 0.83 for RKC Waalwijk.
What was the final score of ADO Den Haag vs RKC Waalwijk?
ADO Den Haag 5-1 RKC Waalwijk in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for ADO Den Haag vs RKC Waalwijk?
Before kick-off our model rated a ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split ADO Den Haag 56%, draw 25%, RKC Waalwijk 19%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADO Den Haag), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.