Vitesse 0-0 MVV Maastricht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 17 Apr 2026

Vitesse
0-0 HT 0-0
MVV Maastricht
📅17/04/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2025/2026

Vitesse vs MVV Maastricht Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.37
Draw
17%
4.81
Away
14%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.96
Over 2.5
62%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.31
2-3 Goals
37%
2.09
4-5 Goals
28%
2.37
6+ Goals
16%
4.67
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.62
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
16.8
X/1
18%
4.16
X/2
3%
14.25
X/X
7%
8.37
2/1 EV+ ✗
15%
17.7
2/2
6%
10.15
2/X
4%
18.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 17.7 — our 15% vs market 3.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
68%
+0.9pp
17%
Draw
17%
-0.8pp
14%
Away Win
14%
-0.1pp
38%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.2pp
62%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.5pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vitesse v MVV Maastricht — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitesse EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY MVV Maastricht EU Bookmakers 18%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +19%
2.20/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.84
+50% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
394 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
31.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
21.7 Crosses 14.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7

Vitesse vs MVV Maastricht Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitesse
1W-1D-1L
AWAY MVV Maastricht
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.57 xG 1.25
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
336 Passes 268
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.10.2025 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 3-2 HT 1-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOL2
01.03.2025 Vitesse Vitesse 1-0 HT 1-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
06.12.2024 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 2-2 HT 0-1 Vitesse Vitesse HOL2

Vitesse 0-0 MVV Maastricht — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitesse
0-0
AWAY MVV Maastricht
69% Ball Possession 31%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Vitesse vs MVV Maastricht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitesse and MVV Maastricht fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Vitesse carried 69% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vitesse had 69% of the ball to MVV Maastricht's 31%, shots finished 15-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Vitesse and 1.67 for MVV Maastricht.

What was the final score of Vitesse vs MVV Maastricht?

Vitesse 0-0 MVV Maastricht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitesse vs MVV Maastricht?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vitesse win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Vitesse 69%, draw 17%, MVV Maastricht 14%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vitesse) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL2 More Netherlands - Eerste Divisie
17 Apr 2026
21:00 De Graafschap vs Cambuur Analysis →
21:00 Roda vs Emmen Analysis →
21:00 Helmond Sport vs VVV-Venlo Analysis →
21:00 FC Oss vs Den Bosch Analysis →
21:00 PSV II vs Ajax II Analysis →
21:00 ADO Den Haag vs RKC Waalwijk Analysis →