Roda 2-2 Emmen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 17 Apr 2026

Roda
2-2 HT 2-0
Emmen
📅17/04/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.53
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.63
Over 2.5
55%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.76
2-3 Goals
37%
2.02
4-5 Goals
25%
2.43
6+ Goals
13%
5.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.85
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
5%
14.6
X/1
16%
4.36
X/2
8%
11.35
X/X
8%
7.24
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
18.2
2/2
9%
7.84
2/X
6%
16.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.2 — our 9% vs market 3.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
61%
-3.9pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.6pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
34%
+10.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
66%
-10.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.1pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roda EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Emmen EU Bookmakers 21%
-12% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
1.77/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.83
-19% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
381 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
20.5 Crosses 16.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roda
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Emmen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.33 xG 1.20
47% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
335 Passes 376
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.11.2025 Emmen Emmen 1-1 HT 1-0 Roda Roda HOL2
11.04.2025 Roda Roda 1-0 HT 0-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
13.09.2024 Emmen Emmen 1-3 HT 0-1 Roda Roda HOL2
16.02.2024 Roda Roda 3-2 HT 1-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
15.12.2023 Emmen Emmen 0-1 HT 0-1 Roda Roda HOL2
22.04.2022 Emmen Emmen 2-0 HT 1-0 Roda Roda HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roda
2-2
AWAY Emmen
1.40 xG 1.83
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
385 Passes 225
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
43 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 5
FAQ Roda vs Emmen
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Roda and Emmen shared the points in a 2-2 draw in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 17 Apr 2026. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 55% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Roda had 59% of the ball to Emmen's 41%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 1.40 to 1.83.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roda have the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Roda and 1.00 for Emmen.

What was the final score of Roda vs Emmen?

Roda 2-2 Emmen in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roda vs Emmen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roda win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Roda 57%, draw 19%, Emmen 24%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Roda) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Roda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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