PSV II 0-1 Ajax II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 17 Apr 2026

📅17/04/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.64
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
3.17
Over 2.5
66%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.35
No
39%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
7.49
2-3 Goals
35%
2.23
4-5 Goals
30%
2.28
6+ Goals
17%
3.92
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
56%
+3.8pp
18%
Draw
20%
-2.7pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-1.1pp
34%
Under 2.5
28%
+6.0pp
66%
Over 2.5
72%
-6.0pp
61%
BTTS Yes
70%
-9.6pp
39%
BTTS No
30%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV II EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajax II EU Bookmakers 27%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.74/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.81
+9% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
392 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 80%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
17.4 Crosses 11.8
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV II
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Ajax II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.77 xG 2.28
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
394 Passes 341
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 32
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.10.2025 Ajax II Ajax II 2-2 HT 0-1 PSV II PSV II HOL2
20.01.2025 Ajax II Ajax II 4-0 HT 2-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
12.08.2024 PSV II PSV II 2-2 HT 0-0 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
15.03.2024 Ajax II Ajax II 3-0 HT 2-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
15.12.2023 PSV II PSV II 2-2 HT 1-0 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
17.04.2023 Ajax II Ajax II 5-4 HT 3-2 PSV II PSV II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV II
0-1
AWAY Ajax II
1.18 xG 0.69
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 0
457 Passes 298
89% Pass Accuracy 78%
31 Box Touches 18
27 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ PSV II vs Ajax II
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Ajax II edged past PSV II 1-0 away from home in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 17 Apr 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 66% and both teams to score was favoured at 61%.

On the day, PSV II had 58% of the ball to Ajax II's 42%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 1.18 to 0.69.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajax II lead the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for PSV II and 3.00 for Ajax II.

What was the final score of PSV II vs Ajax II?

PSV II 0-1 Ajax II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV II vs Ajax II?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSV II win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split PSV II 60%, draw 18%, Ajax II 22%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (PSV II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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