Helmond Sport 2-0 VVV-Venlo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 17 Apr 2026

📅17/04/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
42%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.21
Over 2.5
60%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.5
No
38%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.17
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
2.77
6+ Goals
14%
7.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.87
1/2
10%
23.5
1/X
5%
12.25
X/1
10%
6.28
X/2
14%
5.66
X/X
11%
5.26
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
26.0
2/2
19%
3.29
2/X
7%
12.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.0 — our 10% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+3.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.5pp
62%
BTTS Yes
62%
-0.6pp
38%
BTTS No
38%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Helmond Sport EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY VVV-Venlo EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -23%
1.39/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.25
+0% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
371 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
18.5 Crosses 24.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Helmond Sport
2W-2D-2L
AWAY VVV-Venlo
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.64 xG 1.69
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
364 Passes 330
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.09.2025 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 2-1 HT 1-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
13.04.2025 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 4-1 HT 1-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
30.08.2024 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 3-0 HT 1-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
01.03.2024 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-1 HT 0-1 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
01.10.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 0-4 HT 0-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
05.05.2023 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-1 HT 0-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Helmond Sport
2-0
AWAY VVV-Venlo
1.91 xG 0.46
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 0
388 Passes 384
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
32 Box Touches 11
30 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Helmond Sport vs VVV-Venlo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Helmond Sport beat VVV-Venlo 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was VVV-Venlo at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Helmond Sport had 51% of the ball to VVV-Venlo's 49%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.91 to 0.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Helmond Sport and 1.33 for VVV-Venlo.

What was the final score of Helmond Sport vs VVV-Venlo?

Helmond Sport 2-0 VVV-Venlo in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Helmond Sport vs VVV-Venlo?

Before kick-off our model rated an VVV-Venlo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Helmond Sport 34%, draw 24%, VVV-Venlo 42%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (VVV-Venlo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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