CD Victoria 2-3 Motagua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 17 Apr 2026

📅17/04/2026 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.71
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
57%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.0
Over 2.5
59%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
13%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
23%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
18%
+4.9pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.5pp
57%
Away Win
60%
-2.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
46%
-5.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
54%
+5.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.3pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Motagua EU Bookmakers 64%
+7% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
0.86/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/0.88
-13% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +7%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
256 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Victoria
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Motagua
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
08.02.2026 Motagua Motagua 1-1 HT 1-1 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
02.11.2025 Motagua Motagua 2-1 HT 2-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
23.08.2025 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-1 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
04.05.2025 CD Victoria CD Victoria 1-1 HT 1-0 Motagua Motagua HON
02.03.2025 Motagua Motagua 2-1 HT 1-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
01.12.2024 Motagua Motagua 5-2 HT 3-1 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
POST-MATCH CD Victoria vs Motagua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motagua edged past CD Victoria 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Motagua as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motagua led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CD Victoria and 2.00 for Motagua.

What was the final score of CD Victoria vs Motagua?

CD Victoria 2-3 Motagua in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Victoria vs Motagua?

Before kick-off our model rated an Motagua win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split CD Victoria 23%, draw 20%, Motagua 57%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motagua), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Motagua) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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