St. Pauli 0-2 Bochum — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 17 May 2025

St. Pauli
0-2 HT 0-1
Bochum
📅17/05/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

St. Pauli vs Bochum Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.2
2-3 Goals
42%
1.86
4-5 Goals
21%
2.84
6+ Goals
11%
8.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.21
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.8
X/1
17%
4.49
X/2
12%
9.46
X/X
11%
5.88
2/1
6%
20.95
2/2
9%
6.91
2/X
6%
15.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 35.0 — our 6% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-5.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.0pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.5pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St. Pauli v Bochum — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pauli EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Bochum EU Bookmakers 25%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -16%
1.27/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.94
-20% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -23%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
379 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 73%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
20.9 Crosses 18.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

St. Pauli vs Bochum Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pauli
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Bochum
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.09 xG 1.73
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
277 Passes 345
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.01.2025 Bochum Bochum 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL1
28.01.2021 St. Pauli St. Pauli 2-3 HT 2-2 Bochum Bochum AL2
21.09.2020 Bochum Bochum 2-2 HT 1-0 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL2
05.06.2020 Bochum Bochum 2-0 HT 1-0 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL2
08.11.2019 St. Pauli St. Pauli 1-1 HT 1-1 Bochum Bochum AL2
12.05.2019 St. Pauli St. Pauli 0-0 HT 0-0 Bochum Bochum AL2

St. Pauli 0-2 Bochum — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Pauli
0-2
AWAY Bochum
0.79 xG 1.32
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
467 Passes 317
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 8
POST-MATCH St. Pauli vs Bochum
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bochum saw off St. Pauli 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was St. Pauli at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, St. Pauli had 58% of the ball to Bochum's 42%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.79 to 1.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bochum led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for St. Pauli and 1.50 for Bochum.

What was the final score of St. Pauli vs Bochum?

St. Pauli 0-2 Bochum in the Germany - Bundesliga on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pauli vs Bochum?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Pauli win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split St. Pauli 49%, draw 24%, Bochum 27%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (St. Pauli) ✗ Over 2.5
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