Hoffenheim 0-4 Bayern Münih — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 17 May 2025

Hoffenheim
0-4 HT 0-1
Bayern Münih
📅17/05/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Hoffenheim vs Bayern Münih Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.75
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
51%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.96
Over 2.5
59%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.39
No
44%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
7.11
2-3 Goals
38%
2.22
4-5 Goals
29%
2.36
6+ Goals
13%
4.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
6.5
1/2
9%
17.55
1/X
9%
14.7
X/1
8%
10.25
X/2
13%
4.82
X/X
11%
7.52
2/1
8%
33.5
2/2
29%
2.06
2/X
4%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
23%
+1.6pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.5pp
51%
Away Win
55%
-4.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
68%
-12.2pp
44%
BTTS No
32%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hoffenheim v Bayern Münih — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoffenheim EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern Münih EU Bookmakers 60%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -25%
1.51/2.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.29
+44% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -41%
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 466 · 83%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.0
21.3 Crosses 17.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Hoffenheim vs Bayern Münih Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hoffenheim
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Bayern Münih
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.02 xG 2.47
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 9
308 Passes 537
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 43
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
15.01.2025 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 5-0 HT 3-0 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
18.05.2024 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 4-2 HT 1-2 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
12.01.2024 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 3-0 HT 1-0 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
15.04.2023 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 1-1 HT 1-0 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
22.10.2022 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 0-2 HT 0-2 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
12.03.2022 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 1-1 HT 1-1 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1

Hoffenheim 0-4 Bayern Münih — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoffenheim
0-4
AWAY Bayern Münih
0.40 xG 1.43
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 4
275 Passes 638
78% Pass Accuracy 90%
16 Box Touches 39
5 Crosses 16
POST-MATCH Hoffenheim vs Bayern Münih
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern Münih cruised past Hoffenheim 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bayern Münih as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Hoffenheim had 33% of the ball to Bayern Münih's 67%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 0.40 to 1.43.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayern Münih led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hoffenheim and 2.33 for Bayern Münih.

What was the final score of Hoffenheim vs Bayern Münih?

Hoffenheim 0-4 Bayern Münih in the Germany - Bundesliga on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoffenheim vs Bayern Münih?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern Münih win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Hoffenheim 25%, draw 24%, Bayern Münih 51%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern Münih), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayern Münih) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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