Mönchengladbach 0-1 Wolfsburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 17 May 2025

Mönchengladbach
0-1 HT 0-0
Wolfsburg
📅17/05/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Mönchengladbach vs Wolfsburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.96
Over 2.5
63%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.33
No
41%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.96
2-3 Goals
38%
2.2
4-5 Goals
29%
2.37
6+ Goals
14%
4.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.07
1/2
9%
22.45
1/X
7%
12.3
X/1
7%
6.04
X/2
13%
6.85
X/X
8%
6.81
2/1
13%
20.3
2/2
14%
3.73
2/X
9%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.9pp
37%
Under 2.5
30%
+7.3pp
63%
Over 2.5
70%
-7.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
71%
-12.1pp
41%
BTTS No
29%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mönchengladbach v Wolfsburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mönchengladbach EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolfsburg EU Bookmakers 38%
+4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +13%
1.55/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.37
+20% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 81%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
18.6 Crosses 17.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4

Mönchengladbach vs Wolfsburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mönchengladbach
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Wolfsburg
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.19 xG 1.69
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
422 Passes 460
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.01.2025 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 5-1 HT 1-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
07.04.2024 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 1-3 HT 1-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
05.12.2023 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 1-0 HT 0-0 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AFK
10.11.2023 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 4-0 HT 2-0 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
09.04.2023 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 2-0 HT 1-0 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
15.10.2022 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 2-2 HT 1-1 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1

Mönchengladbach 0-1 Wolfsburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mönchengladbach
0-1
AWAY Wolfsburg
1.00 xG 1.66
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 10
464 Passes 299
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 23
27 Crosses 21
POST-MATCH Mönchengladbach vs Wolfsburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsburg nicked a narrow win over Mönchengladbach 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 36%) promised a tight game; Wolfsburg found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mönchengladbach had 59% of the ball to Wolfsburg's 41%, shots finished 16-17, expected goals 1.00 to 1.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mönchengladbach had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Mönchengladbach and 1.33 for Wolfsburg.

What was the final score of Mönchengladbach vs Wolfsburg?

Mönchengladbach 0-1 Wolfsburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mönchengladbach vs Wolfsburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mönchengladbach win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mönchengladbach 39%, draw 24%, Wolfsburg 36%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mönchengladbach) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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