Real Sociedad 3-4 Valencia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.86
Over
49%
1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.67
No
44%
2.07
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.21
2-3
47%
1.74
4-5
22%
3.42
6+
5%
13.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.33
1/2
2%
31.0
1/X
6%
12.0
X/1
14%
5.41
X/2
12%
6.43
X/X
19%
4.36
2/1
3%
27.0
2/2
16%
4.37
2/X
6%
12.25
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Real Sociedad The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Valencia The Market 34%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.33 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.14
1.24 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.41
Bad Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Strong
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
22 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Valencia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.20 xG 1.02
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
416 Passes 251
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.08.2025 Valencia Valencia 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
19.01.2025 Valencia Valencia 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
28.09.2024 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 3-0 HT 1-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
16.05.2024 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1-0 HT 1-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
27.09.2023 Valencia Valencia 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
25.02.2023 Valencia Valencia 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad
3 - 4
AWAY Valencia
1.15 xG 1.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
407 Passes 317
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 5
4 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Real Sociedad vs Valencia
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Valencia squeezed past Real Sociedad 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

From a near-even 39% / 30% / 30% read, it was Valencia who turned the coin-flip their way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Real Sociedad had 55% of the ball to Valencia's 45%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 1.15 to 1.67.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Sociedad had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Real Sociedad and 0.50 for Valencia.

Real Sociedad vs Valencia Result & Final Score

Real Sociedad 3 - 4 Valencia in the Spain - Primera Liga on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Real Sociedad vs Valencia Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Sociedad win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad 39%, draw 30%, Valencia 30%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Real Sociedad), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Sociedad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS1 More Spain - Primera Liga
17 May 2026
20:00 Elche vs Getafe Analysis →
20:00 Sevilla vs Real Madrid Analysis →
20:00 Athletic Bilbao vs Celta Vigo Analysis →
20:00 Atletico Madrid vs Girona Analysis →
20:00 Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal Analysis →
20:00 Levante vs Mallorca Analysis →