Atletico Madrid vs Girona Prediction — Model Probabilities
Atletico Madrid v Girona — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Madrid vs Girona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Atletico Madrid 1-0 Girona — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Madrid nicked a narrow win over Girona 1-0.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Atletico Madrid as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) never looked like landing.
The match data tells the story: Atletico Madrid had 47% of the ball to Girona's 53%, shots finished 17-25, expected goals 1.97 to 2.17.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Atletico Madrid and 0.83 for Girona.
Atletico Madrid vs Girona Result & Final Score
Atletico Madrid 1 - 0 Girona in the Spain - Primera Liga on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Atletico Madrid vs Girona Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid 56%, draw 24%, Girona 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Madrid) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.