Sevilla 0-1 Real Madrid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 17 May 2026

Sevilla
0 - 1 HT 0 - 1
Real Madrid
📅17/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2025/2026

Sevilla vs Real Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
48%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.15
Over
56%
1.69
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
59%
1.54
No
41%
2.31
Total Goals
0-1
21%
4.09
2-3
45%
1.83
4-5
26%
2.89
6+
8%
8.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.18
1/2 ✗
4%
21.8
1/X
5%
13.15
X/1
10%
7.59
X/2
15%
4.89
X/X
15%
5.3
2/1
2%
31.5
2/2
29%
2.62
2/X
5%
12.45
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.8 — our 4% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Sevilla v Real Madrid — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Sevilla The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid The Market 51%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.33 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.80
1.32 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.18
Bad Attack Strength Strong
Weak Defense Strength Strong
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
371 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 84%
19 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28
17 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2

Sevilla vs Real Madrid Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sevilla
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Real Madrid
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.17 xG 1.63
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
341 Passes 538
86% Pass Accuracy 91%
14 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.12.2025 Real Madrid Real Madrid 2-0 HT 1-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
18.05.2025 Sevilla Sevilla 0-2 HT 0-0 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
22.12.2024 Real Madrid Real Madrid 4-2 HT 3-1 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
25.02.2024 Real Madrid Real Madrid 1-0 HT 0-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
21.10.2023 Sevilla Sevilla 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
27.05.2023 Sevilla Sevilla 1-2 HT 1-1 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1

Sevilla 0-1 Real Madrid — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sevilla
0 - 1
AWAY Real Madrid
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
286 Passes 466
80% Pass Accuracy 88%
REVIEW Sevilla vs Real Madrid
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Real Madrid came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Sevilla 1-0 on the road.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Real Madrid as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

Under the surface, Real Madrid saw more of the ball, 59% to 41%, shots finished 14-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Madrid led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Sevilla against 2.00 for Real Madrid.

Sevilla vs Real Madrid Result & Final Score

Sevilla 0 - 1 Real Madrid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Sevilla vs Real Madrid Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sevilla 27%, draw 25%, Real Madrid 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Madrid) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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17 May 2026
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