Athletic Bilbao vs Celta Vigo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Athletic Bilbao v Celta Vigo — Team-Based Signals
Athletic Bilbao vs Celta Vigo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Celta Vigo — Actual Match Statistics
a 1-1 draw left Athletic Bilbao and Celta Vigo with a point apiece. Half-time: 0-1.
A gentle 44% lean on Athletic Bilbao didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (57%) landed.
On the day, Athletic Bilbao had 58% of the ball to Celta Vigo's 42%, shots finished 27-3, expected goals 2.49 to 0.15.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athletic Bilbao had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Athletic Bilbao and 1.67 for Celta Vigo.
Athletic Bilbao vs Celta Vigo Result & Final Score
Athletic Bilbao 1 - 1 Celta Vigo in the Spain - Primera Liga on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Athletic Bilbao vs Celta Vigo Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Bilbao win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Athletic Bilbao 44%, draw 29%, Celta Vigo 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Athletic Bilbao), BTTS No went the other way.