Atalanta vs Bologna Prediction — Model Probabilities
Atalanta v Bologna — Team-Based Signals
Atalanta vs Bologna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Atalanta 0-1 Bologna — Actual Match Statistics
Bologna edged past Atalanta 1-0 away from home. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Atalanta at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Bologna saw more of the ball, 55% to 45%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.76 to 0.69.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bologna led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Atalanta against 0.83 for Bologna.
Atalanta vs Bologna Result & Final Score
Atalanta 0 - 1 Bologna in the Italy - Serie A on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Atalanta vs Bologna Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Atalanta 55%, draw 23%, Bologna 21%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.