Roma vs Lazio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Roma v Lazio — Team-Based Signals
Roma vs Lazio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Roma 2-0 Lazio — Actual Match Statistics
Roma beat Lazio 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Roma as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 50% for over 2.5, 48% on both teams scoring.
On the day, Lazio saw more of the ball, 51% to 49%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.19 to 0.69.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roma had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Roma against 0.33 for Lazio.
Roma vs Lazio Result & Final Score
Roma 2 - 0 Lazio in the Italy - Serie A on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Roma vs Lazio Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Roma win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Roma 63%, draw 22%, Lazio 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.