San Diego 3-3 FC Cincinnati — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.9
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
3.17
Over 2.5
66%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.32
No
36%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
7.75
2-3 Goals
40%
2.28
4-5 Goals
28%
2.32
6+ Goals
16%
3.97
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.47
1/2
4%
25.0
1/X
7%
11.85
X/1
15%
5.42
X/2
9%
8.13
X/X
8%
6.9
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
17.9
2/2
17%
4.64
2/X
5%
12.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 17.9 — our 8% vs market 3.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
48%
+1.4pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.4pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.0pp
34%
Under 2.5
28%
+6.3pp
66%
Over 2.5
72%
-6.3pp
64%
BTTS Yes
72%
-8.0pp
36%
BTTS No
28%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Diego EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Cincinnati EU Bookmakers 32%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +6%
1.69/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.67
+0% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
396 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 80%
33.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
19.3 Crosses 11.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Diego
3-3
AWAY FC Cincinnati
1.87 xG 2.25
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 2
646 Passes 359
90% Pass Accuracy 84%
36 Box Touches 13
31 Crosses 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ San Diego vs FC Cincinnati
Match summary & frequently asked questions

San Diego and FC Cincinnati shared the points in a 3-3 draw in the USA - Major League on 17 May 2026. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 66% and both teams to score was favoured at 64%.

On the day, San Diego had 63% of the ball to FC Cincinnati's 37%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.87 to 2.25.

What was the final score of San Diego vs FC Cincinnati?

San Diego 3-3 FC Cincinnati in the USA - Major League on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Diego vs FC Cincinnati?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Diego win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split San Diego 50%, draw 20%, FC Cincinnati 30%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (San Diego) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Diego) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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