Luis Angel Firpo 0-1 Aguila — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
36%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.67
Over 2.5
36%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.85
No
59%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-6.7pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.0pp
36%
Away Win
27%
+8.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
56%
+8.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
44%
-8.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
50%
-9.1pp
59%
BTTS No
50%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguila EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +14%
1.34/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/0.96
+1% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +33%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 4.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luis Angel Firpo
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Aguila
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
14.05.2026 Aguila Aguila 1-2 HT 0-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
02.05.2026 Aguila Aguila 1-1 HT 0-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
09.03.2026 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
14.12.2025 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 0-1 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
08.12.2025 Aguila Aguila 1-3 HT 0-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
17.11.2025 Aguila Aguila 3-3 HT 3-2 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
POST-MATCH Luis Angel Firpo vs Aguila
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguila squeezed past Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Aguila found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luis Angel Firpo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Luis Angel Firpo and 1.17 for Aguila.

What was the final score of Luis Angel Firpo vs Aguila?

Luis Angel Firpo 0-1 Aguila in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luis Angel Firpo vs Aguila?

Before kick-off our model rated a Luis Angel Firpo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Luis Angel Firpo 37%, draw 27%, Aguila 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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