Paide Linnameeskond 1-3 FC Levadia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.65
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
59%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
27%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
19%
+1.9pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.0pp
59%
Away Win
59%
+0.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 62%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -10%
0.85/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/0.70
-26% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +37%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FC Levadia
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.03.2026 FC Levadia FC Levadia 2-2 HT 1-1 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
22.10.2025 FC Levadia FC Levadia 1-2 HT 1-1 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
04.07.2025 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 0-3 HT 0-2 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
11.05.2025 FC Levadia FC Levadia 2-1 HT 2-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
23.04.2025 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-1 HT 0-1 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
09.11.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 3-0 HT 2-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
1-3
AWAY FC Levadia
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Levadia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Levadia got the better of Paide Linnameeskond 3-1 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Levadia as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Paide Linnameeskond had 34% of the ball to FC Levadia's 66%, shots finished 10-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Paide Linnameeskond and 1.50 for FC Levadia.

What was the final score of Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Levadia?

Paide Linnameeskond 1-3 FC Levadia in the Estonia - Premium League on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Levadia?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Paide Linnameeskond 21%, draw 20%, FC Levadia 59%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Levadia), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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