FC Kuressaare 0-2 Nomme JK Kalju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
6.35
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
71%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
20%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
43%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
11%
Home Win
12%
-1.3pp
18%
Draw
18%
+0.3pp
71%
Away Win
70%
+1.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.7pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 75%
+8% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +10%
0.81/2.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.13/0.60
+1% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +40%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Kuressaare
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.03.2026 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 4-0 HT 2-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
25.10.2025 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-1 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
31.08.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
18.05.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 4-0 HT 2-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
12.04.2025 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-2 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
02.11.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-2 HT 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Kuressaare
0-2
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Kuressaare vs Nomme JK Kalju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme JK Kalju got the better of FC Kuressaare 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nomme JK Kalju as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, FC Kuressaare had 47% of the ball to Nomme JK Kalju's 53%, shots finished 13-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nomme JK Kalju led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for FC Kuressaare and 2.50 for Nomme JK Kalju.

What was the final score of FC Kuressaare vs Nomme JK Kalju?

FC Kuressaare 0-2 Nomme JK Kalju in the Estonia - Premium League on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Kuressaare vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split FC Kuressaare 11%, draw 18%, Nomme JK Kalju 71%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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