FC Levadia 1-2 Paide Linnameeskond — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 22 Oct 2025

📅22/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-4.2pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.8pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+2.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 24%
+7% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
1.59/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.94
-14% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +86%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
345 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Levadia
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
04.07.2025 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 0-3 HT 0-2 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
11.05.2025 FC Levadia FC Levadia 2-1 HT 2-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
23.04.2025 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-1 HT 0-1 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
09.11.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 3-0 HT 2-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
29.05.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
25.05.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 4-2 HT 0-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond ESTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Levadia
1-2
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Levadia vs Paide Linnameeskond
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paide Linnameeskond edged past FC Levadia 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was FC Levadia at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, FC Levadia had 59% of the ball to Paide Linnameeskond's 41%, shots finished 16-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Levadia had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FC Levadia and 1.33 for Paide Linnameeskond.

What was the final score of FC Levadia vs Paide Linnameeskond?

FC Levadia 1-2 Paide Linnameeskond in the Estonia - Premium League on 22/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Levadia vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split FC Levadia 52%, draw 25%, Paide Linnameeskond 23%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Levadia), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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