Tallinna Kalev 0-2 Nomme JK Kalju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 22 Oct 2025

📅22/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
12%
9.57
Draw
16%
5.71
Away
72%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
27%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
37%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
12%
Home Win
7%
+4.3pp
16%
Draw
14%
+2.4pp
72%
Away Win
79%
-6.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.3pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 84%
+3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +8%
0.66/2.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.34/0.64
-18% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +13%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
214 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 438 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tallinna Kalev
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.83
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.07.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 6-2 HT 3-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
01.06.2025 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-1 HT 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
13.05.2025 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-5 HT 0-2 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju ESTK
22.04.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 6-1 HT 1-1 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
22.09.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 3-1 HT 2-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
03.08.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-2 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tallinna Kalev
0-2
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tallinna Kalev vs Nomme JK Kalju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme JK Kalju saw off Tallinna Kalev 2-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nomme JK Kalju as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Tallinna Kalev had 35% of the ball to Nomme JK Kalju's 65%, shots finished 7-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nomme JK Kalju led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tallinna Kalev and 3.83 for Nomme JK Kalju.

What was the final score of Tallinna Kalev vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Tallinna Kalev 0-2 Nomme JK Kalju in the Estonia - Premium League on 22/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tallinna Kalev vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Tallinna Kalev 12%, draw 16%, Nomme JK Kalju 72%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
EST1 More Estonia - Premium League
22 Oct 2025
18:00 Harju Jalgpallikool vs JK Tammeka Tartu Analysis →
19:00 FC Levadia vs Paide Linnameeskond Analysis →