Nomme JK Kalju 6-2 Tallinna Kalev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.29
Draw
22%
5.15
Away
20%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
73%
-15.3pp
23%
Draw
16%
+6.2pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+9.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.5pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / -2%
2.53/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/2.73
+7% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -17%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
346 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.06.2025 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-1 HT 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
13.05.2025 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-5 HT 0-2 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju ESTK
22.04.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 6-1 HT 1-1 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
22.09.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 3-1 HT 2-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
03.08.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-2 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
18.06.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-0 HT 1-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
6-2
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
70% Ball Possession 30%
29 Total Shots 8
16 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nomme JK Kalju vs Tallinna Kalev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme JK Kalju swept aside Tallinna Kalev 6-2. Half-time: 3-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nomme JK Kalju as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 6-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Nomme JK Kalju had 70% of the ball to Tallinna Kalev's 30%, shots finished 29-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nomme JK Kalju had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Nomme JK Kalju and 0.33 for Tallinna Kalev.

What was the final score of Nomme JK Kalju vs Tallinna Kalev?

Nomme JK Kalju 6-2 Tallinna Kalev in the Estonia - Premium League on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme JK Kalju vs Tallinna Kalev?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Nomme JK Kalju 58%, draw 23%, Tallinna Kalev 20%. The final score 6-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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