Slaven Belupo 1-4 Dinamo Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
4.48
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
60%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
18%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
19%
-1.1pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.3pp
60%
Away Win
58%
+2.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.5pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slaven Belupo EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 62%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
0.84/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/0.80
-22% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -3%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
250 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.6
18.4 Crosses 21.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slaven Belupo
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
0.60 xG 3.18
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 6
273 Passes 423
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 30
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.03.2026 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 4-2 HT 0-1 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
14.12.2025 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 2-5 HT 1-4 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
28.09.2025 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 4-1 HT 2-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
10.05.2025 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 5-0 HT 3-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
09.03.2025 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-1 HT 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
06.12.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1-1 HT 1-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slaven Belupo
1-4
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
0.75 xG 2.06
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 1
310 Passes 448
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Slaven Belupo vs Dinamo Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Zagreb swept aside Slaven Belupo 4-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dinamo Zagreb as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Slaven Belupo had 43% of the ball to Dinamo Zagreb's 57%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 0.75 to 2.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Zagreb led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Slaven Belupo and 3.33 for Dinamo Zagreb.

What was the final score of Slaven Belupo vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Slaven Belupo 1-4 Dinamo Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slaven Belupo vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Slaven Belupo 18%, draw 22%, Dinamo Zagreb 60%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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