Istra 1961 0-0 Rijeka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
4.65
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
59%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
15%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
19%
-1.1pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.7pp
59%
Away Win
56%
+2.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Istra 1961 EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Rijeka EU Bookmakers 60%
+5% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
0.86/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.75
+14% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +29%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
256 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
12.6 Crosses 17.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Istra 1961
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Rijeka
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.61 xG 1.34
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
249 Passes 322
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 4
15.03.2026 Rijeka Rijeka 0-2 HT 0-2 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
27.09.2025 Rijeka Rijeka 0-0 HT 0-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
19.04.2025 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 2-0 HT 1-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
02.04.2025 Rijeka Rijeka 1-0 HT 0-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIRK
09.02.2025 Rijeka Rijeka 0-1 HT 0-1 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
03.11.2024 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0-1 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Istra 1961
0-0
AWAY Rijeka
1.17 xG 0.55
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
285 Passes 281
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Istra 1961 vs Rijeka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Istra 1961 and Rijeka fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Rijeka carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Istra 1961 had 50% of the ball to Rijeka's 50%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 1.17 to 0.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Istra 1961 had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Istra 1961 and 0.33 for Rijeka.

What was the final score of Istra 1961 vs Rijeka?

Istra 1961 0-0 Rijeka in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Istra 1961 vs Rijeka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Istra 1961 18%, draw 23%, Rijeka 59%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rijeka) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rijeka) ✓ Under 2.5
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