Volendam vs Telstar Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Volendam v Telstar — Team-Based Signals
Volendam vs Telstar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Telstar
HOL2
1-5
HT 1-4
Volendam
HOL2
2-0
HT 1-0
Telstar
HOL2
Volendam 1-2 Telstar — Actual Match Statistics
Telstar edged past Volendam 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Telstar as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Volendam had 51% of the ball to Telstar's 49%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 1.06 to 1.46.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Volendam had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Volendam and 1.00 for Telstar.
What was the final score of Volendam vs Telstar?
Volendam 1-2 Telstar in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Volendam vs Telstar?
Before kick-off our model rated an Telstar win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Volendam 34%, draw 23%, Telstar 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Telstar), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.