Utrecht vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Utrecht v Fortuna Sittard — Team-Based Signals
Utrecht vs Fortuna Sittard Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Utrecht
HOL
1-2
HT 0-0
Fortuna Sittard
HOL
Utrecht 2-0 Fortuna Sittard — Actual Match Statistics
Utrecht got the better of Fortuna Sittard 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Utrecht as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Utrecht had 58% of the ball to Fortuna Sittard's 42%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 1.90 to 0.49.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortuna Sittard led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Utrecht and 1.33 for Fortuna Sittard.
What was the final score of Utrecht vs Fortuna Sittard?
Utrecht 2-0 Fortuna Sittard in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Utrecht vs Fortuna Sittard?
Before kick-off our model rated a Utrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Utrecht 63%, draw 19%, Fortuna Sittard 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Utrecht) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.