Santa Fe 1-1 Junior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
19%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
4%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-1.5pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.9pp
19%
Away Win
22%
-2.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Junior EU Bookmakers 25%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +18%
1.26/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.13
-2% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
278 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
20.4 Crosses 13.5
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Fe
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Junior
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.35 xG 1.13
41% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
201 Passes 332
69% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2026 Santa Fe Santa Fe 2-1 HT 1-1 Junior Junior KOL
22.01.2026 Santa Fe Santa Fe 3-0 HT 2-0 Junior Junior KOLSK
16.01.2026 Junior Junior 1-1 HT 0-1 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOLSK
30.10.2025 Junior Junior 1-2 HT 1-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
11.05.2025 Santa Fe Santa Fe 2-1 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
02.09.2024 Junior Junior 1-1 HT 0-1 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Fe
1-1
AWAY Junior
1.96 xG 0.52
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
304 Passes 272
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Santa Fe vs Junior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Fe and Junior shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Santa Fe at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Santa Fe had 53% of the ball to Junior's 47%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 1.96 to 0.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Fe had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Santa Fe and 0.83 for Junior.

What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Junior?

Santa Fe 1-1 Junior in the Colombia - Primera on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Fe vs Junior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Santa Fe 50%, draw 31%, Junior 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Santa Fe), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santa Fe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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KOL More Colombia - Primera
17 May 2026
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