Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportes Tolima v Atletico Nacional — Team-Based Signals
Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Deportes Tolima 0-1 Atletico Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Nacional squeezed past Deportes Tolima 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Atletico Nacional made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Deportes Tolima had 48% of the ball to Atletico Nacional's 52%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.38 to 0.44.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportes Tolima and 1.17 for Atletico Nacional.
What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional?
Deportes Tolima 0-1 Atletico Nacional in the Colombia - Primera on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional?
Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 37%, draw 25%, Atletico Nacional 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Nacional) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.