FC Sochi 1-1 FC Akhmat Grozny — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
47%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-1.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
47%
Away Win
44%
+3.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.6pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Sochi EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 48%
+12% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.34/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.22
+1% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
285 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 81%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.8
20.6 Crosses 16.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Sochi
3W-0D-3L
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.24 xG 0.92
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
356 Passes 227
75% Pass Accuracy 68%
18 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2025 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 2-4 HT 0-2 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
25.04.2024 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
06.08.2023 FC Sochi FC Sochi 1-2 HT 1-2 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
23.04.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
30.07.2022 FC Sochi FC Sochi 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
23.04.2022 FC Sochi FC Sochi 3-2 HT 0-1 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Sochi
1-1
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
0.93 xG 1.77
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
382 Passes 283
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Sochi vs FC Akhmat Grozny
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Sochi and FC Akhmat Grozny shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was FC Akhmat Grozny at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, FC Sochi had 55% of the ball to FC Akhmat Grozny's 45%, shots finished 6-9, expected goals 0.93 to 1.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FC Sochi and 1.50 for FC Akhmat Grozny.

What was the final score of FC Sochi vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

FC Sochi 1-1 FC Akhmat Grozny in the Russia - Premier League on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Sochi vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Akhmat Grozny win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split FC Sochi 30%, draw 24%, FC Akhmat Grozny 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Akhmat Grozny), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Akhmat Grozny) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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