Rostov 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
5.91
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
57%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.75
No
52%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.1
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
5.53
6+ Goals
9%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
12.6
1/2
9%
33.0
1/X
5%
23.5
X/1
4%
12.4
X/2
24%
3.45
X/X
18%
4.2
2/1
3%
34.0
2/2
24%
1.95
2/X
7%
20.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
14%
-1.0pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.7pp
57%
Away Win
62%
-4.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
32%
+16.2pp
52%
BTTS No
68%
-16.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rostov EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 66%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -12%
0.83/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/0.77
-41% / +98% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +25%
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
215 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 81%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.1
17.4 Crosses 20.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rostov
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.15 xG 2.43
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
285 Passes 368
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.07.2025 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-1 HT 0-1 Rostov Rostov RUS
18.05.2025 Rostov Rostov 0-1 HT 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
16.04.2025 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-0 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUK
12.03.2025 Rostov Rostov 0-1 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUK
07.02.2025 Rostov Rostov 1-2 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg HAZ
03.08.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 5-0 HT 4-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rostov
0-1
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
0.13 xG 1.13
57% Ball Possession 43%
5 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
305 Passes 215
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
12 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rostov vs Zenit St. Petersburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg edged past Rostov 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Rostov had 57% of the ball to Zenit St. Petersburg's 43%, shots finished 5-8, expected goals 0.13 to 1.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Rostov and 2.17 for Zenit St. Petersburg.

What was the final score of Rostov vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Rostov 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg in the Russia - Premier League on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rostov vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Rostov 13%, draw 30%, Zenit St. Petersburg 57%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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