Krylya Sovetov 4-1 Akron — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.25
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.16
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.45
6+ Goals
10%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 28% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.34
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
17%
5.24
X/2
8%
6.09
X/X
10%
4.61
2/1
10%
26.5
2/2
15%
4.22
2/X
6%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
40%
+6.9pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.5pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-3.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.8pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Akron EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.16/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.42
+14% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
274 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
18.8 Crosses 20.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krylya Sovetov
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Akron
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.19 xG 1.59
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
320 Passes 251
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.07.2025 Akron Akron 1-1 HT 1-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
09.03.2025 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 0-2 HT 0-1 Akron Akron RUS
03.11.2024 Akron Akron 2-0 HT 1-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
02.05.2021 Akron Akron 1-2 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS1
07.11.2020 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 3-0 HT 3-0 Akron Akron RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krylya Sovetov
4-1
AWAY Akron
3.11 xG 2.12
39% Ball Possession 61%
17 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
195 Passes 332
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 22
8 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Krylya Sovetov vs Akron
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krylya Sovetov swept aside Akron 4-1. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Krylya Sovetov as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Krylya Sovetov had 39% of the ball to Akron's 61%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 3.11 to 2.12.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Krylya Sovetov and 1.20 for Akron.

What was the final score of Krylya Sovetov vs Akron?

Krylya Sovetov 4-1 Akron in the Russia - Premier League on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krylya Sovetov vs Akron?

Before kick-off our model rated a Krylya Sovetov win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Krylya Sovetov 47%, draw 23%, Akron 30%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Krylya Sovetov) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Krylya Sovetov) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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