CSKA Moskova vs Lokomotiv Moscow Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CSKA Moskova v Lokomotiv Moscow — Team-Based Signals
CSKA Moskova vs Lokomotiv Moscow Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
CSKA Moskova 3-1 Lokomotiv Moscow — Actual Match Statistics
CSKA Moskova beat Lokomotiv Moscow 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (36% / 24% / 40%) promised a tight game; CSKA Moskova found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, CSKA Moskova had 43% of the ball to Lokomotiv Moscow's 57%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 1.82 to 1.71.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Moscow led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for CSKA Moskova and 1.67 for Lokomotiv Moscow.
What was the final score of CSKA Moskova vs Lokomotiv Moscow?
CSKA Moskova 3-1 Lokomotiv Moscow in the Russia - Premier League on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CSKA Moskova vs Lokomotiv Moscow?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lokomotiv Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split CSKA Moskova 36%, draw 24%, Lokomotiv Moscow 40%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lokomotiv Moscow) went the other way.