Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Shabab Riyadh v Al Ittihad-Jeddah — Team-Based Signals
Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Al Shabab Riyadh 3-2 Al Ittihad-Jeddah — Actual Match Statistics
Al Shabab Riyadh edged past Al Ittihad-Jeddah 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Al Ittihad-Jeddah at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (61%) came in.
On the day, Al Shabab Riyadh had 47% of the ball to Al Ittihad-Jeddah's 53%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.56 to 1.73.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ittihad-Jeddah led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Shabab Riyadh and 2.50 for Al Ittihad-Jeddah.
What was the final score of Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?
Al Shabab Riyadh 3-2 Al Ittihad-Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ittihad-Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Shabab Riyadh 34%, draw 23%, Al Ittihad-Jeddah 44%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah) went the other way.