AEK Atina 1-1 Olympiakos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.8
Over
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.69
No
52%
2.05
Total Goals
0-1
35%
3.01
2-3
37%
1.71
4-5
19%
3.46
6+
9%
14.1
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.01 — our 35% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.02
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
7%
12.6
X/1
12%
5.94
X/2
16%
5.54
X/X
13%
4.37
2/1
9%
30.0
2/2
17%
3.6
2/X
5%
12.5
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AEK Atina The Market 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Olympiakos The Market 40%
-13% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -4%
1.07/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.13
-52% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
321 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 72%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
14.5 Crosses 21.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AEK Atina
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Olympiakos
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.73 xG 1.15
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
240 Passes 273
70% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.04.2026 Olympiakos Olympiakos 0-1 HT 0-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
01.02.2026 AEK Atina AEK Atina 1-1 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
26.10.2025 Olympiakos Olympiakos 2-0 HT 1-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
27.04.2025 AEK Atina AEK Atina 0-2 HT 0-1 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
13.04.2025 Olympiakos Olympiakos 1-0 HT 0-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
02.04.2025 AEK Atina AEK Atina 2-0 HT 1-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AEK Atina
1-1
AWAY Olympiakos
0.78 xG 0.62
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
270 Passes 215
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW AEK Atina vs Olympiakos
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

AEK Atina and Olympiakos shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (56%) landed.

On the day, possession split 55% to 45% in AEK Atina's favour, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.78 to 0.62.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olympiakos led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for AEK Atina against 1.00 for Olympiakos.

AEK Atina vs Olympiakos Result & Final Score

AEK Atina 1-1 Olympiakos in the Greece - Super League on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

AEK Atina vs Olympiakos Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Olympiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split AEK Atina 35%, draw 25%, Olympiakos 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Olympiakos), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Olympiakos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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