Panathinaikos 2-2 PAOK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 17 May 2026

Panathinaikos
2-2 HT 0-2
PAOK
📅17/05/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2025/2026

Panathinaikos vs PAOK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
46%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.91
Over
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.72
No
48%
2.0
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
29%
3.27
2-3
39%
1.74
4-5
22%
3.24
6+
10%
12.05
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.27 — our 29% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.81
1/2
8%
23.5
1/X
5%
14.2
X/1
8%
7.75
X/2
16%
4.54
X/X
18%
4.9
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
22%
2.55
2/X
4%
13.2
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Panathinaikos v PAOK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panathinaikos The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY PAOK The Market 53%
+14% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
0.94/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.86
-4% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +0%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
286 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 80%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
12.7 Crosses 18.6
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Panathinaikos vs PAOK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panathinaikos
1W-1D-4L
AWAY PAOK
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.55 xG 0.90
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
251 Passes 369
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 26
11 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.04.2026 PAOK PAOK 0-0 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
11.02.2026 PAOK PAOK 2-0 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUK
04.02.2026 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 0-1 HT 0-0 PAOK PAOK YUK
21.12.2025 PAOK PAOK 2-0 HT 1-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
09.11.2025 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-1 HT 2-0 PAOK PAOK YUN
27.04.2025 PAOK PAOK 2-1 HT 1-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN

Panathinaikos 2-2 PAOK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panathinaikos
2-2
AWAY PAOK
1.61 xG 2.63
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 6
365 Passes 328
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 36
29 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Panathinaikos vs PAOK
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Panathinaikos and PAOK finished all square at 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was PAOK at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The market had leaned harder still (1.89, ~53%); nobody's numbers saw this one coming.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 48% for over 2.5, 52% on both teams scoring. At 1.80 (~56%), the over-2.5 price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

The match data tells the story: Panathinaikos had 53% of the ball to PAOK's 47%, shots finished 17-17, expected goals 1.61 to 2.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PAOK led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Panathinaikos and 1.33 for PAOK.

Panathinaikos vs PAOK Result & Final Score

Panathinaikos 2-2 PAOK in the Greece - Super League on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Panathinaikos vs PAOK Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Panathinaikos 27%, draw 27%, PAOK 46%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (PAOK), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PAOK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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