Nashville SC 3-0 Columbus Crew — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 17 Jul 2025

📅17/07/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.74
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.15
6+ Goals
13%
10.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.74 — our 24% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
47%
+3.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-2.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.0pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nashville SC EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +31%
1.76/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.41
+1% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
357 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 82%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
18.5 Crosses 15.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nashville SC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Columbus Crew
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.49 xG 1.69
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
292 Passes 476
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
29.05.2025 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 2-2 HT 0-1 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
04.07.2024 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 2-0 HT 1-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
31.03.2024 Nashville SC Nashville SC 2-2 HT 2-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
25.06.2023 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 2-0 HT 1-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
29.05.2023 Nashville SC Nashville SC 3-1 HT 0-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
03.04.2022 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 0-1 HT 0-1 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nashville SC
3-0
AWAY Columbus Crew
2.25 xG 1.23
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
347 Passes 603
90% Pass Accuracy 94%
20 Box Touches 44
5 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nashville SC swept aside Columbus Crew 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nashville SC as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Nashville SC had 37% of the ball to Columbus Crew's 63%, shots finished 10-21, expected goals 2.25 to 1.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Nashville SC and 1.50 for Columbus Crew.

What was the final score of Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew?

Nashville SC 3-0 Columbus Crew in the USA - Major League on 17/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nashville SC win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Nashville SC 51%, draw 24%, Columbus Crew 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nashville SC), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nashville SC) ✓ Over 2.5
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