Columbus Crew 2-0 Nashville SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 4 Jul 2024

📅04/07/2024 · 🕒03:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.45
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.38
Over 2.5
52%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
65%
-10.8pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.7pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.1pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Nashville SC EU Bookmakers 18%
+1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +9%
1.73/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.41
-5% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +123%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
425 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
30.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
19.4 Crosses 14.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Columbus Crew
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Nashville SC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.21 xG 1.09
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
464 Passes 301
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.03.2024 Nashville SC Nashville SC 2-2 HT 2-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
25.06.2023 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 2-0 HT 1-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
29.05.2023 Nashville SC Nashville SC 3-1 HT 0-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
03.04.2022 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 0-1 HT 0-1 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
21.10.2021 Nashville SC Nashville SC 1-1 HT 0-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
22.07.2021 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 0-0 HT 0-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Columbus Crew
2-0
AWAY Nashville SC
2.35 xG 0.77
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 4
403 Passes 318
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
33 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Columbus Crew vs Nashville SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Columbus Crew saw off Nashville SC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Columbus Crew as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Columbus Crew had 55% of the ball to Nashville SC's 45%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 2.35 to 0.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nashville SC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Columbus Crew and 1.17 for Nashville SC.

What was the final score of Columbus Crew vs Nashville SC?

Columbus Crew 2-0 Nashville SC in the USA - Major League on 04/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Columbus Crew vs Nashville SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Columbus Crew win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Columbus Crew 54%, draw 25%, Nashville SC 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Columbus Crew), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Columbus Crew) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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