Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Portland Timbers v Real Salt Lake — Team-Based Signals
Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Portland Timbers 0-1 Real Salt Lake — Actual Match Statistics
Real Salt Lake nicked a narrow win over Portland Timbers 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Portland Timbers at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Portland Timbers had 44% of the ball to Real Salt Lake's 56%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.95 to 0.88.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portland Timbers had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Portland Timbers and 1.33 for Real Salt Lake.
What was the final score of Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake?
Portland Timbers 0-1 Real Salt Lake in the USA - Major League on 17/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake?
Before kick-off our model rated a Portland Timbers win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Portland Timbers 41%, draw 26%, Real Salt Lake 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.