Real Salt Lake 3-3 Portland Timbers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.61
Over Pick
62%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.41
No
40%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1
21%
6.01
2-3
37%
2.07
4-5
29%
2.57
6+
13%
5.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.54
1/2
5%
29.0
1/X
5%
13.05
X/1
10%
4.92
X/2
11%
7.58
X/X
13%
6.31
2/1
11%
20.3
2/2
14%
4.59
2/X
5%
13.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.3 — our 11% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
46%
Home Win
48%
-1.6pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.1pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.4pp
38%
Under 2.5
35%
+3.1pp
62%
Over 2.5
65%
-3.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
67%
-6.8pp
40%
BTTS No
33%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Salt Lake The Market 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Portland Timbers The Market 32%
+1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
1.69/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.87
+7% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
378 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 80%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
20.1 Crosses 14.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Salt Lake
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Portland Timbers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.08 xG 0.95
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
344 Passes 346
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.07.2024 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 3-0 HT 1-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
31.08.2023 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 2-1 HT 1-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
18.05.2023 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 0-0 HT 0-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
11.05.2023 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 3-4 HT 1-2 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABDK
10.10.2022 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 3-1 HT 1-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
24.04.2022 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Salt Lake
3-3
AWAY Portland Timbers
2.07 xG 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
378 Passes 318
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Real Salt Lake vs Portland Timbers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Salt Lake and Portland Timbers shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Real Salt Lake at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Real Salt Lake had 53% of the ball to Portland Timbers's 47%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 2.07 to 0.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Real Salt Lake and 1.50 for Portland Timbers.

What was the final score of Real Salt Lake vs Portland Timbers?

Real Salt Lake 3-3 Portland Timbers in the USA - Major League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Salt Lake vs Portland Timbers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Salt Lake win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Real Salt Lake 46%, draw 23%, Portland Timbers 30%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Real Salt Lake) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Salt Lake) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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