Aucas vs Independiente Del Valle Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aucas v Independiente Del Valle — Team-Based Signals
Aucas vs Independiente Del Valle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Independiente Del Valle
EKV1
Aucas 0-3 Independiente Del Valle — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente Del Valle cruised past Aucas 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Independiente Del Valle as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, shots finished 11-19, expected goals 0.44 to 2.52.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Del Valle led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Aucas and 1.50 for Independiente Del Valle.
What was the final score of Aucas vs Independiente Del Valle?
Aucas 0-3 Independiente Del Valle in the Ecuador - Premier on 17/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aucas vs Independiente Del Valle?
Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Aucas 30%, draw 25%, Independiente Del Valle 45%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.