Orense 0-2 Emelec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 17 Jul 2026

Orense
0-2 HT 0-1
Emelec
📅17/07/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2026

Orense vs Emelec Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.33
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
28%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
39%
+5.2pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.8pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-2.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Orense v Emelec — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orense EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Emelec EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -4%
1.41/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.50
-3% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
19.8 Crosses 14.8
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6

Orense vs Emelec Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orense
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Emelec
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.83 xG 0.73
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
280 Passes 292
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
15.03.2026 Emelec Emelec 2-1 HT 1-1 Orense Orense EKV1
29.09.2025 Orense Orense 0-0 HT 0-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
01.06.2025 Emelec Emelec 1-0 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1
02.09.2024 Emelec Emelec 2-1 HT 0-1 Orense Orense EKV1
26.03.2024 Orense Orense 1-1 HT 0-1 Emelec Emelec EKV1
13.08.2023 Emelec Emelec 0-0 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1

Orense 0-2 Emelec — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orense
0-2
AWAY Emelec
0.34 xG 1.22
7 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
366 Passes 251
16 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 8
6 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Orense vs Emelec
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Emelec beat Orense 2-0 away from home in the Ecuador - Premier on 17 Jul 2026. Half-time: 0-1.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 44% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.34 to 1.22.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emelec lead the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Orense and 1.00 for Emelec.

What was the final score of Orense vs Emelec?

Orense 0-2 Emelec in the Ecuador - Premier on 17/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orense vs Emelec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orense win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Orense 44%, draw 27%, Emelec 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Orense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Orense) ✓ Under 2.5
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