Tijuana 3-1 Tigres UANL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 17 Jul 2026

Tijuana
3 - 1 HT 1 - 0
Tigres UANL
📅17/07/2026 · 🕒06:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2026/2027

Tijuana vs Tigres UANL Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.18
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
45%
2.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.85
Over
48%
1.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.04
2-3
46%
1.72
4-5
21%
3.44
6+
5%
13.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
2%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Tijuana v Tigres UANL — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Tijuana The Market 31%
Head to Head
AWAY Tigres UANL The Market 49%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.31 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.52
1.36 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.09
Strong Attack Strength Weak
Strong Defense Strength Strong
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
295 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 80%
19 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2

Tijuana vs Tigres UANL Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tijuana
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Tigres UANL
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.68 xG 2.35
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
307 Passes 348
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 32
11 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
04.04.2026 Tijuana Tijuana 1-0 HT 1-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
30.11.2025 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 5-0 HT 3-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
27.11.2025 Tijuana Tijuana 3-0 HT 1-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
26.10.2025 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 2-0 HT 0-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
29.01.2025 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 4-0 HT 1-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
02.11.2024 Tijuana Tijuana 0-3 HT 0-1 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
REVIEW Tijuana vs Tigres UANL
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Tijuana had too much for Tigres UANL 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Tigres UANL at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 48% for over 2.5, 54% on both teams scoring.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL led the recent series with 4 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Tijuana against 2.33 for Tigres UANL.

Tijuana vs Tigres UANL Result & Final Score

Tijuana 3 - 1 Tigres UANL in the Mexico - Primera on 17/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Tijuana vs Tigres UANL Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Tijuana 27%, draw 28%, Tigres UANL 45%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tigres UANL), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tigres UANL) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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