Celje 2-2 Mura — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 17 Jul 2026

Celje
2-2 HT 0-1
Mura
📅17/07/2026 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.32
Draw
18%
4.95
Away
18%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.76
No
43%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.12
2-3 Goals
38%
1.93
4-5 Goals
24%
2.53
6+ Goals
15%
5.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
13%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
71%
-6.9pp
18%
Draw
17%
+0.9pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+6.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.1pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celje EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Mura EU Bookmakers 15%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -18%
2.57/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/2.47
+18% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / -13%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
422 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celje
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Mura
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
69% Ball Possession 31%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2026 Mura Mura 0-2 HT 0-2 Celje Celje SLVN
14.02.2026 Celje Celje 5-1 HT 2-1 Mura Mura SLVN
26.10.2025 Mura Mura 2-1 HT 1-1 Celje Celje SLVN
10.08.2025 Celje Celje 3-0 HT 1-0 Mura Mura SLVN
13.04.2025 Celje Celje 2-1 HT 0-1 Mura Mura SLVN
16.02.2025 Mura Mura 0-0 HT 0-0 Celje Celje SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celje
2-2
AWAY Mura
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Celje vs Mura
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celje and Mura shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Celje carried 64% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 12-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celje had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Celje and 0.67 for Mura.

What was the final score of Celje vs Mura?

Celje 2-2 Mura in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 17/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celje vs Mura?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Celje 64%, draw 18%, Mura 18%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Celje) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Celje) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SLVN More Slovenia - 1st Division
17 Jul 2026
19:00 Nafta vs Koper Analysis →