Mura 0-2 Celje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 19 Apr 2026

Mura
0-2 HT 0-2
Celje
📅19/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.04
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
51%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
4.1
2-3 Goals
35%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
2.8
6+ Goals
11%
8.19
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+4.5pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.3pp
51%
Away Win
55%
-4.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.1pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mura EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Celje EU Bookmakers 60%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -18%
0.95/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.23/1.11
-14% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mura
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Celje
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
31% Ball Possession 69%
8 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.02.2026 Celje Celje 5-1 HT 2-1 Mura Mura SLVN
26.10.2025 Mura Mura 2-1 HT 1-1 Celje Celje SLVN
10.08.2025 Celje Celje 3-0 HT 1-0 Mura Mura SLVN
13.04.2025 Celje Celje 2-1 HT 0-1 Mura Mura SLVN
16.02.2025 Mura Mura 0-0 HT 0-0 Celje Celje SLVN
19.10.2024 Celje Celje 4-3 HT 0-1 Mura Mura SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mura
0-2
AWAY Celje
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mura vs Celje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celje beat Mura 2-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Celje as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Mura had 38% of the ball to Celje's 62%, shots finished 9-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celje led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mura and 2.50 for Celje.

What was the final score of Mura vs Celje?

Mura 0-2 Celje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mura vs Celje?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Mura 26%, draw 23%, Celje 51%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celje) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celje) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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SLVN More Slovenia - 1st Division
19 Apr 2026
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