Halifax Town 0-1 Aldershot Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.81
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.22
6+ Goals
9%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.81 — our 30% vs market 21.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.98
1/2
5%
31.5
1/X
8%
12.35
X/1
17%
5.02
X/2
7%
6.77
X/X
13%
4.8
2/1
9%
24.85
2/2
19%
4.56
2/X
6%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.5pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Halifax Town EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Aldershot Town EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +5%
1.41/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.59
-9% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Halifax Town
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Aldershot Town
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.02.2024 Halifax Town Halifax Town 1-2 HT 1-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
25.11.2023 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Halifax Town Halifax Town İBSL
28.03.2023 Halifax Town Halifax Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
11.03.2023 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Halifax Town Halifax Town FAK
17.09.2022 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 5-1 HT 2-1 Halifax Town Halifax Town İBSL
07.05.2022 Halifax Town Halifax Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Halifax Town
0-1
AWAY Aldershot Town
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Halifax Town vs Aldershot Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aldershot Town edged past Halifax Town 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Halifax Town at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Halifax Town had 57% of the ball to Aldershot Town's 43%, shots finished 9-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aldershot Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Halifax Town and 1.50 for Aldershot Town.

What was the final score of Halifax Town vs Aldershot Town?

Halifax Town 0-1 Aldershot Town in the England - National League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Halifax Town vs Aldershot Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Halifax Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Halifax Town 42%, draw 27%, Aldershot Town 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Halifax Town), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Halifax Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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