Northampton Town vs Exeter City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Northampton Town v Exeter City — Team-Based Signals
Northampton Town vs Exeter City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Northampton Town
İN1
1-1
HT 1-0
Exeter City
İN2
1-2
HT 0-1
Northampton Town
İN2
1-2
HT 0-1
Northampton Town
İNTK
4-0
HT 2-0
Exeter City
İN2
Northampton Town 2-1 Exeter City — Actual Match Statistics
Northampton Town squeezed past Exeter City 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Northampton Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Northampton Town had 41% of the ball to Exeter City's 59%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 1.82 to 1.30.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Northampton Town had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Northampton Town and 0.83 for Exeter City.
What was the final score of Northampton Town vs Exeter City?
Northampton Town 2-1 Exeter City in the England - 1st Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Northampton Town vs Exeter City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Northampton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Northampton Town 36%, draw 28%, Exeter City 36%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.