JEF United 0-3 Iwaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.41
2-3 Goals
45%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.48
6+ Goals
11%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 25% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-4.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+5.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.0pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JEF United EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Iwaki EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +26%
1.12/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/0.83
-19% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +73% / +47%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
345 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JEF United
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Iwaki
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2024 Iwaki Iwaki 1-0 HT 0-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
29.10.2023 JEF United JEF United 1-0 HT 0-0 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
18.06.2023 Iwaki Iwaki 0-0 HT 0-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JEF United
0-3
AWAY Iwaki
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
291 Passes 112
74% Pass Accuracy 57%
27 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH JEF United vs Iwaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Iwaki swept aside JEF United 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was JEF United at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, JEF United had 66% of the ball to Iwaki's 34%, shots finished 15-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for JEF United and 0.33 for Iwaki.

What was the final score of JEF United vs Iwaki?

JEF United 0-3 Iwaki in the Japan - J2 League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JEF United vs Iwaki?

Before kick-off our model rated a JEF United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split JEF United 41%, draw 25%, Iwaki 34%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (JEF United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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