Hajduk Split 3-0 Slaven Belupo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
18%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.82
Over 2.5
53%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.01
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.44
6+ Goals
10%
13.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.44 — our 24% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
57%
+0.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
18%
Away Win
19%
-1.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.0pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hajduk Split EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Slaven Belupo EU Bookmakers 22%
-4% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +13%
1.40/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.28
+6% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
17.9 Crosses 16.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hajduk Split
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Slaven Belupo
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.23 xG 0.55
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
348 Passes 267
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.04.2025 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-1 HT 0-1 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
26.01.2025 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 0-0 HT 0-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
20.10.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-2 HT 0-2 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
04.08.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 2-1 HT 2-1 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
20.04.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-1 HT 0-1 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
11.02.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 4-0 HT 1-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hajduk Split
3-0
AWAY Slaven Belupo
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Hajduk Split vs Slaven Belupo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hajduk Split ran out comfortable winners over Slaven Belupo 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hajduk Split as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Hajduk Split had 61% of the ball to Slaven Belupo's 39%, shots finished 17-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hajduk Split had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hajduk Split and 0.17 for Slaven Belupo.

What was the final score of Hajduk Split vs Slaven Belupo?

Hajduk Split 3-0 Slaven Belupo in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hajduk Split vs Slaven Belupo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hajduk Split win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Hajduk Split 57%, draw 25%, Slaven Belupo 18%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hajduk Split), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hajduk Split) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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