Forge 2-0 Atletico Ottawa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.76
No
43%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.9
2-3 Goals
42%
1.7
4-5 Goals
23%
3.55
6+ Goals
11%
15.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.0pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.8pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.4pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forge EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Ottawa EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +4%
1.52/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.20
+34% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 80%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
13.3 Crosses 13.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forge
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Atletico Ottawa
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.03 xG 1.53
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
332 Passes 444
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.07.2025 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-1 HT 0-1 Forge Forge KAPL
13.05.2025 Forge Forge 2-2 HT 1-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
02.11.2024 Forge Forge 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
12.10.2024 Forge Forge 0-2 HT 0-2 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
11.08.2024 Forge Forge 3-0 HT 2-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
29.06.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 4-3 HT 1-0 Forge Forge CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forge
2-0
AWAY Atletico Ottawa
2.93 xG 1.09
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 3
389 Passes 369
87% Pass Accuracy 87%
22 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Forge vs Atletico Ottawa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forge got the better of Atletico Ottawa 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Forge as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Forge had 52% of the ball to Atletico Ottawa's 48%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 2.93 to 1.09.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Forge and 1.50 for Atletico Ottawa.

What was the final score of Forge vs Atletico Ottawa?

Forge 2-0 Atletico Ottawa in the Kanada - Premier League on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forge vs Atletico Ottawa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forge win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Forge 47%, draw 24%, Atletico Ottawa 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forge) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Forge) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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